Update to El Niño Forecast

Jeff Master’s has an update post from Dr. Michael Ventrice on the El Niño forecast. As Master’s said, it’s highly technical (and above my pay grade), but still interesting none-the-less. Short story, the models are in greater agreement of El Niño conditions and increased strength. To quote, “the latest climate model forecasts are now more aggressive with the amplitude of the potential emerging El Niño.”

The paired wind bursts around the equator (i.e., the washing machine wringers mentioned last week) have faded, but there appears to be potential activity in the Indian Ocean that could move east. This may form the southern half of a new pair of wringers.

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center April monthly expert assessment is due in a week or so and I’ll post more if that has interesting goodies.

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